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What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices?

What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices? | Simplifying The Market

Now that the end of 2022 is within sight, you may be wondering what’s going to happen in the housing market next year and what that may mean if you’re thinking about buying a home. Here’s a look at the latest expert insights on both mortgage rates and home prices so you can make your best move possible.

Mortgage Rates Will Continue To Respond to Inflation

There’s no doubt mortgage rates have skyrocketed this year as the market responded to high inflation. The increases we’ve seen were fast and dramatic, and the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate even surpassed 7% at the end of last month. In fact, it’s the first time they’ve risen this high in over 20 years (see graph below):

What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices? | Simplifying The Market

In their latest quarterly report, Freddie Mac explains just how fast the climb in rates has been:

“Just one year ago, rates were under 3%. This means that while mortgage rates are not as high as they were in the 80’s, they have more than doubled in the past year. Mortgage rates have never doubled in a year before.”

Because we’re in unprecedented territory, it’s hard to say with certainty where mortgage rates will go from here. Projecting the future of mortgage rates is far from an exact science, but experts do agree that, moving forward, mortgage rates will continue to respond to inflation. If inflation stays high, mortgage rates likely will too.

Home Price Changes Will Vary by Market

As buyer demand has eased this year in response to those higher mortgage rates, home prices have moderated in many markets too. In terms of the forecast for next year, expert projections are mixed. The general consensus is home price appreciation will vary by local market, with more significant changes happening in overheated areas. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, says:

“House price appreciation has slowed in all 50 markets we track, but the deceleration is generally more dramatic in areas that experienced the strongest peak appreciation rates.”

Basically, some areas may still see slight price growth while others may see slight price declines. It all depends on other factors at play in that local market, like the balance between supply and demand. This may be why experts are divided on their latest national forecasts (see graph below):

What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices? | Simplifying The Market

Bottom Line

If you want to know what’s happening with home prices or mortgage rates, let’s connect so you have the latest on what experts are saying and what that means for our area.


GIVE ME A CALL AND LETS TALK ABOUT YOUR REAL ESTATE NEEDS – JAMES JESTES 386-315-4744

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Related posts:

  1. What’s Ahead for Home Prices?
  2. Home Mortgage Rates by Decade [INFOGRAPHIC]
  3. What is Really Happening with Home Prices?
  4. How an Expert Can Help You Understand Inflation & Mortgage Rates

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James Jestes Broker Associate SRN Real Estate Pros

James Jestes


Broker Associate | eXp Realty
386-315-4744
James@JamesJestes.com
I'm Available Daily:
8:00AM to 8:00PM

Call, Text or E-mail!

"As an Associate Broker with eXp Realty, I am dedicated to helping families and individuals accomplish their real estate goals by providing dedicated service when buying or selling a home. I have served my country in the U.S. Army and the U.S. Marines; I bring that same sense of service and selflessness to every one of my customers."

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BUY AND SELL REAL ESTATE WITH JAMES JESTES

James Jestes Broker Associate SRN Real Estate Pros

James Jestes


Broker Associate | eXp Realty
386-315-4744
James@JamesJestes.com
I'm Available Daily:
8:00AM to 8:00PM

Call, Text or E-mail!

"As an Associate Broker with eXp Realty, I am dedicated to helping families and individuals accomplish their real estate goals by providing dedicated service when buying or selling a home. I have served my country in the U.S. Army and the U.S. Marines; I bring that same sense of service and selflessness to every one of my customers."

FEATURED LISTINGS

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SEARCH ALL OF THE GREATER DAYTONA BEACH AREA

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James Jestes, Your new favorite Realtor.

Hello my name is James Jestes and I am a Broker Associate with eXp Realty.  I am dedicated to helping you find your perfect new home. I’m a no hassle, no pressure agent here to help you accomplish your real estate goals. Please reach out to me and let me know how I can help you purchase or sell your home.

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eXp Realty
386-315-4744
James@JamesJestes.com

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