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The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You

The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | Simplifying The Market

This will be an interesting year for residential real estate. With a presidential election taking place this fall and talk of a possible recession occurring before the end of the year, predicting what will happen in the 2020 U.S. housing market can be challenging. As a result, taking a look at the combined projections from the most trusted entities in the industry when it comes to mortgage rates, home sales, and home prices is incredibly valuable – and they may surprise you.

Mortgage Rates

Projections from the experts at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac all forecast mortgage rates remaining stable throughout 2020:The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | Simplifying The MarketSince rates have remained under 5% for the last decade, we may not fully realize the opportunity we have right now.

Here are the average mortgage interest rates over the last several decades:

  • 1970s: 8.86%
  • 1980s: 12.70%
  • 1990s: 8.12%
  • 2000s: 6.29%

Home Sales

Three of the four expert groups noted above also predict an increase in home sales in 2020, and the fourth sees the transaction number remaining stable:The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | Simplifying The Market

With mortgage rates remaining near all-time lows, demand should not be a challenge. The lack of available inventory, however, may moderate the increase in sales.

Home Prices

Below are the projections from six different expert entities that look closely at home values: CoreLogic, Fannie Mae, Ivy Zelman’s “Z Report”, the National Association of Realtors (NAR), Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | Simplifying The MarketEach group has home values continuing to improve through 2020, with four of them seeing price appreciation increasing at a greater pace than it did in 2019.

Is a Recession Possible?

In early 2019, a large percentage of economists began predicting a recession may occur in 2020. In addition, a recent survey of potential home purchasers showed that over 50% agreed it would occur this year. The economy, however, remained strong in the fourth quarter, and that has caused many to rethink the possibility.

For example, Goldman Sachs, in their 2020 U.S. Outlook, explained:

“Markets sounded the recession alarm this year, and the average forecaster now sees a 33% chance of recession over the next year. In contrast, our new recession model suggests just a 20% probability. Despite the record age of the expansion, the usual late-cycle problems—inflationary overheating and financial imbalances—do not look threatening.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage rates are projected to remain under 4%, causing sales to increase in 2020. With growing demand and a limited supply of inventory, prices will continue to appreciate, while the threat of an impending recession seems to be softening. It looks like 2020 may be a solid year for the real estate market.


GIVE ME A CALL AND LETS TALK ABOUT YOUR REAL ESTATE NEEDS – JAMES JESTES 386-315-4744

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James Jestes Broker Associate SRN Real Estate Pros

James Jestes


Broker Associate | eXp Realty
386-315-4744
James@JamesJestes.com
I'm Available Daily:
8:00AM to 8:00PM

Call, Text or E-mail!

"As an Associate Broker with eXp Realty, I am dedicated to helping families and individuals accomplish their real estate goals by providing dedicated service when buying or selling a home. I have served my country in the U.S. Army and the U.S. Marines; I bring that same sense of service and selflessness to every one of my customers."

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BUY AND SELL REAL ESTATE WITH JAMES JESTES

James Jestes Broker Associate SRN Real Estate Pros

James Jestes


Broker Associate | eXp Realty
386-315-4744
James@JamesJestes.com
I'm Available Daily:
8:00AM to 8:00PM

Call, Text or E-mail!

"As an Associate Broker with eXp Realty, I am dedicated to helping families and individuals accomplish their real estate goals by providing dedicated service when buying or selling a home. I have served my country in the U.S. Army and the U.S. Marines; I bring that same sense of service and selflessness to every one of my customers."

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SEARCH ALL OF THE GREATER DAYTONA BEACH AREA

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James Jestes, Your new favorite Realtor.

Hello my name is James Jestes and I am a Broker Associate with eXp Realty.  I am dedicated to helping you find your perfect new home. I’m a no hassle, no pressure agent here to help you accomplish your real estate goals. Please reach out to me and let me know how I can help you purchase or sell your home.

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eXp Realty
386-315-4744
James@JamesJestes.com

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